Wednesday, February 10, 2016

New Hampshire primary won by Trump and Sanders – as it happened

Updated 
 Live results: New Hampshire
 in Concord, New Hampshire

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Summary

The topline results are in in the New Hampshire primary. Here’s what we know so far:
  • The 2016 presidential race broke into an open and clear insurgency in both parties against the political establishment, with formerly outsider candidates scoring huge victories in the New Hampshire primary.
  • Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Bernie Sanders won by large double-digit margins. Their respective wins were big enough that TV networks were able to call the races immediately after polls closed.
  • Voter turnout in New Hampshire on a bitterly cold night was very large and appeared to be on track to break state records.
  • Ohio governor John Kasich won his bet on the Granite State, finishing in second. He vowed to take his campaign national after a New Hampshire focus.
  • The fight over third place on the Republican side was too close to call. Jeb Bush, Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio all appeared to be in the running.
  • The stakes were high, as a fourth or fifth place finish in New Hampshirewould make it more difficult for Bush or others to justify carrying on. “This campaign is not dead,” Bush told supporters.
  • Governor Chris Christie announced he was returning to New Jersey to “take a deep breath” after what looked like a sixth-place finish in a state where he went for broke.
  • Democratic runner-up Hillary Clinton said “I know I have some work to do, particularly with young people,” but she vowed to “fight for every vote in every state.”
  • Sanders asked viewers to donate on his web site “to take the fight to Nevada, South Carolina and the states on Super Tuesday.”
  • Sanders said his big New Hampshire victory would “echo from Wall Street to Washington, from Maine to California,” and announced a political revolution.
  • “We are going now to South Carolina, we’re gonna win in South Carolina,” Trump concluded his speech. “I love you all.”
Updated 
Meanwhile ... In a just-released interview with French conservative magazine Valeurs Actuelles, Trump has accused German Chancellor Angela Merkel of making “a tragic mistake” in allowing migrants into Germany.
In the real estate billionaire’s first in-depth campaign interview with European media, he warned that the refugee crisis could trigger revolutions and even the end of Europe.
German Chancellor Merkel.
 German Chancellor Merkel. Photograph: Fabrizio Bensch/Reuters
“If you don’t treat the situation competently and firmly, yes, it’s the end of Europe. You could face real revolutions,” Trump was quoted as saying.
The 69-year-old property magnate also said Brussels had become a breeding ground for terrorists and some neighbourhoods in Paris and elsewhere in France had become no-go zones. “Unfortunately, France is not what it used to be, and neither is Paris,” he said.
He also said tight French gun laws were partly responsible for the killing of dozens of people at the Bataclan concert hall last November by Islamist militants.
“I always have a gun with me. Had I been at the Bataclan, I can tell you I would have opened fire,” he said.
(h/t: Reuters)
Updated 
Sabrina Siddiqui 
When Marco Rubio took the stage before supporters after an underwhelming performance in the New Hampshireprimary on Tuesday, the Florida senator was brutally honest: It was his own fault.
Rubio had stumbled badly in the last Republican presidential debate, offering a robotic performance in a critical exchange with New Jersey governor Chris Christie just two days before voters took to the polls. And despite Rubio and his team’s best efforts to brush the moment aside, the senator acknowledged as the results rolled in that it mattered.
“It’s on me.”
 “It’s on me.” Photograph: Carlo Allegri/Reuters
“A lot of people are disappointed. I’m disappointed with tonight,” Rubio told a couple hundred supporters in a hotel ballroom. “But I want to tell you that disappointment is not on you. It’s on me. It’s on me.”
“I did not do well on Saturday night. So listen to this: That will never happen again.”
The crowd of voters and volunteers erupted at first in disagreement, seeking to cheer him on despite his lackluster showing. But they quickly broke into thunderous applause as he switched gears to a more optismistic outlook of the future.
“Tonight we did not wind up where we wanted to be, but that does not change where we are going to wind up at the end of this process,” Rubio said.
“Not all days are going to be great days,” he added. “We’re not always going to get things the way we want, but in the end I’m confident that not only will this campaign be successful, but America will be successful as well.”
Updated 

A note on how delegates are awarded in New Hampshire

Every state party has its own rules for awarding delegates, representatives at the national party conventions, to candidates.
Some states are winner-take-all. Others are proportionate based on share of statewide vote. Others are proportionate based on congressional district. The parties keep separate sets of rules for this, of course.
Many states require a candidate to get above a certain percentage of the vote to win any delegates at all. The Republican race in New Hampshire is like that!
In New Hampshire on the Republican side you need to get 10% of the vote to come away with any delegates at all.
Candidates currently with less than 10% of the vote in New Hampshire, with 73.33% reporting: Chris Christie, Carly Fiorina and Ben Carson. If they don’t clear 10% they forfeit their percentages – to whoever wins. In this case Donald Trump.
So, ironically, a vote for Christie tonight could end up being, in effect, a vote for Trump.
Marco Rubio is just over the hurdle, for now, at 10.5%.
Texas senator Ted Cruz.
 Texas senator Ted Cruz. Photograph: Matt Campbell/EPA
Mogul Donald Trump.
 Mogul Donald Trump. Photograph: Mike Segar/Reuters
Florida senator Marco Rubio.
 Florida senator Marco Rubio. Photograph: Jacquelyn Martin/AP
Former Florida governor Jeb Bush.
 Former Florida governor Jeb Bush. Photograph: Faith Ninivaggi/Reuters
Here’s why Bernie Sanders is heading to New York City tomorrow. It’s not for a Wall Street fundraiser. It’s to have breakfast with the Rev. Al Sharpton:
— AP Politics (@AP_Politics)February 10, 2016
The Latest: Bernie Sanders heading to New York for breakfast with the Rev. Al Sharpton.https://t.co/9DlfyFTmP6pic.twitter.com/N4waOrNlcK
Lee Glendinning 
Here’s video from inside the room earlier with Hillary Clinton, who kicked off the series of candidates’ speeches, victory and vanquished.
She thanks the crowd for “the passion and purpose you all show for this campaign” – and you can hear it in the din:
 Cheerful support for Clinton.
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